OPEC
Abo Alghasem AsnaAshari; Kamran Nadri; Asghar Abolhasani; Nader Mehregan; Mohammad Reza Babaei
Volume 6, Issue 22 , January 2016, , Pages 102-85
Abstract
Like most of oil exporting countries, Iran’s economy is exposed to the government’s great share of economic activites, complicated monetary and economic policies and a meager activity in production section.Thus a shock in oil price has a significant effect on domestic production, inflation ...
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Like most of oil exporting countries, Iran’s economy is exposed to the government’s great share of economic activites, complicated monetary and economic policies and a meager activity in production section.Thus a shock in oil price has a significant effect on domestic production, inflation and money. On the proposed model of Qu and Perron (2007), the present study Investigates structural shocks of Iran’s economy stemed from exogenous oil price considering the variables of production, inflation and money as independent and endogenous variables during the period from March 1961 to February 2012. Accordingly, five structural shocks have been identified in September 1973, July 1979, May 1990, July 1994 and May 2006. The most considerable effect of oil price on production, inflation and money growth were in the first, first and fifth regimes respectively. Moreover, the longest period of oil price effects on production, inflation and money growth were in forth, second and fifth regimes respectively.
Jahangir Biyabani; Asghar Abolhassani Hastiyani; Bita Shayegani; Mahdi Haghgou
Volume 3, Issue 9 , April 2013, , Pages 112-99
Abstract
The important role of export in economic growth and development and its impact on different economic sectors constitute a broad and significant issue upon which a large number of economists have been concentrating their minds, and has even branched out extensively into other scientific fields. In this ...
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The important role of export in economic growth and development and its impact on different economic sectors constitute a broad and significant issue upon which a large number of economists have been concentrating their minds, and has even branched out extensively into other scientific fields. In this regard, developing countries benefit from potential endowments due to relative advantages and huge amount of resources and have expertise in raw materials production and international specialization has led these countries to be dependent on raw materials export earnings. Likewise, considering that export's commodity prices are unpredictable, their fluctuations lead to export earnings be violated. Consequently, the economy as a whole would negatively or positively be affected and these result in instability of economic growth. For this purpose, this study aims at investigation of relationship between export earnings' volatilities and economic growth. Therefore, using estimation of St. Louis growth model over period 1976-2010, and Auto-Regression Distributed Lags (ARDL), effects of export earnings' volatilities on economic growth was evaluated. The findings of this study indicate significant negative impact of export earnings' volatilities on economic growth.
